Transportation & Logistics Analysis

Rotterdam / Durban: rates are flat

May 22 2019

Let’s explore this week a "no stories" port pair on a North / South containerized route : Rotterdam / Durban. 

The key factors that explain such stability in this market are :

  • a limited number of players,
  • a good fit in terms of capacity offered by carriers versus demand on the long run,
  • well-established Safmarine-MSL leadership,
  • and finally a wide open local buyer market.

The local South African economy, in spite of a moderate 1 to 1,5% yearly GDP, remains one of the most diversified and consistent in Africa with a wide range of cargo imported, in dry and reefer containers.

In terms of freight rate volatility, this pipe is one of less sensitive, in terms of peak / slack seasons and capacity changes. This is something to consider from a Shipper’s perspective when preparing a budget.

Historical view on average rates in Port to Port (with THC) estimated by Upply over the past 24 months – May 21st :

Capture d’écran 2019-05-22 à 14.22.52

Photo credit: Image by Ellen26 from Pixabay

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Expert in Ocean shipping for 25 years, Jerome puts all his knowledge of the industry to contribution for Upply. Ship captain at heart, he has written the English-French Lexicon of Containerized Shipping (Paris: CELSE, 2001).
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